Bristol City (@2.0) vs Middlesbrough (@3.8)
29-08-2019

Our Prediction:

Bristol City will win

Bristol City – Middlesbrough Match Prediction | 29-08-2019 07:30

Ashton Gate will host Saturdays football game between Bristol City and Middlesbrough, the two teams who aim to return to the Premier League. A man to keep an eye on in the home side will be former Stoke City attacker Benik Afobe, who has been scoring goals for fun at the start of the season. The Robins have been in a fine form at the start of the season and they will be looking to extend their winning run in the Championship to four games when they take on Middlesbrough on Matchday 6.

On average, Boro have conceded 0.79 goals at home, while theyve shipped an average of 1.07 expected goals in front of a home crowd. Bristol City have surrendered an average of 1.17 goals on the road, while theyve conceded an average of 1.31 expected goals. Furthermore, from a defensive point of view, Tuesdays visitors have generally looked less sturdy on the road than Middlesbrough have at home.

Their defeat was a narrow one, though Middlesbrough could have few complaints with the result, as they were beaten by Norwich on home soil last time out. Against a side that imposed themselves on the game far more than Boro, Pulis men, who created a reasonably weak 0.97 expected goals for, struggled to forge clear-cut openings, while as they conceded 1.76 expected goals, they werent too great at the back either.

All things considered, the best bet at the prices looks to be Middlesbrough to Win & Under 3.5. Though theres not a great deal between the pair, as the league table suggests, Middlesbrough look to have a better defensive pedigree, while their pragmatic style could also aid them against Bristol City, who ideally want a more open game than the one theyre likely to get at Riverside Stadium.

Bristol City vs Middlesbrough H2H Last Matches

Having been in and around the top six for most of the campaign, Middlesbrough are now in real danger of missing out on a place in the coveted play-offs. After going five games without a win, four of which theyve lost, Tony Pulis men find themselves on the back-foot, though a win against a Bristol City side that is currently ahead of them on goal difference would certainly keep Boro in the play-off picture.

Bristol City have surrendered an average of 1.17 goals on the road, while theyve conceded an average of 1.31 expected goals. Furthermore, from a defensive point of view, Tuesdays visitors have generally looked less sturdy on the road than Middlesbrough have at home. On average, Boro have conceded 0.79 goals at home, while theyve shipped an average of 1.07 expected goals in front of a home crowd.

Boro have been playing their home games at the Riverside Stadium since 1995 and their shirt colour is red. Newcastle United and Sunderland are regarded as the clubs main rivals, but there is a rivalry with Leeds United as well. The capacity of the Riverside Stadium is 34,742. Middlesbrough is a professional football club that have been balancing between the top two divisions of Englands league system in the modern history. Middlesbrough impressed in the 2015/2016 Championship campaign and they did really well to secure promotion to the English top flight.

Bristol City emerged triumphant in each of their previous three meetings in the English second tier and, taking everything into account, home win should be considered. The Robins quickly bounced back from a shocking 2-1 loss to Preston and they are now on a quest to start a new winning run at their Ashton Gate Stadium. Bristol City did well to beat Hull City at KCOM Stadium at the weekend and thanks to the triumph they cemented their spot in top six. Middlesbrough, on the other hand, suffered a disappointing 3-0 loss to Derby County in front of home fans at the weekend and, as a result, they are not sitting in the play-offs berth ahead of the trip to Bristol. Bristol City and Middlesbrough face each other at Ashton Gate Stadium in what is expected to be one of the most entertaining games of Saturdays program.

In terms of recent results, Boro, whove now lost three on the bounce on their own patch, have been struggling at home, though most of their performances prior to losing against the current league leaders werent bad at all. Against both QPR and Brentford, Pulis men looked reasonably sturdy at the back, while they created more going forward, bettering both of those opponents in terms of expected goals. Their penultimate home match against Preston saw them give more away at the back, though given that they created a pleasing 2.23 expected goals for, they offered a good amount going forward.

Middlesbrough

Both Saturdays game against Sheffield United and their recent away match against Norwich showed that Lee Johnsons men are effective offensively in open games, but theyve found it harder to create against more pragmatic sides, which doesnt exactly bode well ahead of a match against a Middlesbrough side that will have no problem sitting deep and keeping things compact. Bristol City have had no shortage of good results away from home, though some of their efforts suggest that they could struggle against a side of Boros nature.

Bristol City emerged triumphant in each of their previous three meetings in the English second tier and, taking everything into account, home win should be considered. The Robins quickly bounced back from a shocking 2-1 loss to Preston and they are now on a quest to start a new winning run at their Ashton Gate Stadium. Middlesbrough, on the other hand, suffered a disappointing 3-0 loss to Derby County in front of home fans at the weekend and, as a result, they are not sitting in the play-offs berth ahead of the trip to Bristol. Bristol City did well to beat Hull City at KCOM Stadium at the weekend and thanks to the triumph they cemented their spot in top six. Bristol City and Middlesbrough face each other at Ashton Gate Stadium in what is expected to be one of the most entertaining games of Saturdays program.

Nathan Baker is a product of Aston Villa football academy. The left-footed defender played 115 games for Aston Villa in the league and it has to be noted that he scored only goal for the club during his spell at Villa Park. Nathan Baker is used as both centre-back and left-back and the 189-cm-tall footballer is very good in the air.

A positive average expected goal difference is not something that Bristol City currently have away from home, as theyve generally struggled to be at their creative best on the road. They may have scored three goals at Bramall Lane on Saturday, though as they created just 0.77 expected goals for (and conceded 1.3), its easy to feel that they were fortunate to both notch three times and come out on top. An improved showing will be needed if theyre to get a result at the Riverside.